Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.485621 9.941585 11.536008 13.406821 15.536704 17.880831 20.650650
2025-12-21 5.835327 7.738502 10.047917 13.033072 16.763384 21.242894 26.997874
2025-12-28 4.688337 6.853634 9.698344 13.654182 18.948483 25.717664 34.942582
2026-01-04 3.857804 6.130842 9.324752 14.043797 20.722186 29.700273 42.517008
2026-01-11 3.167840 5.433451 8.816081 14.090214 21.926983 32.926933 49.261800
2026-01-18 2.645390 4.869400 8.379639 14.124801 23.039427 36.035210 56.006069
2026-01-25 2.160525 4.263047 7.765963 13.772332 23.482532 38.148796 61.413331
2026-02-01 1.779017 3.754033 7.219166 13.427434 23.854941 40.127426 66.698639
2026-02-08 1.440029 3.251859 6.599282 12.862029 23.780036 41.363092 70.880914
2026-02-15 1.184060 2.855732 6.101416 12.428362 23.850094 42.790199 75.408047
2026-02-22 1.065612 2.716293 6.056511 12.791637 25.301092 46.540945 83.876181
2026-03-01 0.966680 2.598865 6.034508 13.186770 26.829443 50.507575 92.923563
2026-03-08 0.802524 2.311904 5.654218 12.900285 27.192924 52.688566 99.444825
2026-03-15 0.657208 2.037137 5.259418 12.544663 27.415818 54.691192 105.907190
2026-03-22 0.602018 1.977533 5.325976 13.146657 29.536292 60.239535 118.931733
2026-03-29 0.539156 1.881185 5.291135 13.523873 31.241885 65.146060 131.123780
2026-04-05 0.466641 1.737527 5.117660 13.568832 32.269712 68.852583 141.366814
2026-04-12 0.404385 1.606448 4.950751 13.602310 33.267864 72.560504 151.827362
2026-04-19 0.335899 1.433979 4.643902 13.261251 33.423987 74.631845 159.330985
2026-04-26 0.279017 1.281031 4.358399 12.927552 33.552725 76.641579 166.819393
2026-05-03 0.224963 1.117918 4.009675 12.380584 33.136661 77.504103 172.112586
2026-05-10 0.183816 0.987494 3.727723 11.961129 32.961835 78.834012 178.385925
2026-05-17 0.167532 0.952988 3.733022 12.312494 34.641163 84.166850 192.987410